Bitcoin has surged past $85,000 aided by President Trump’s tariff measures, despite Bitcoin whales on Binance remaining inactive. Analysis reveals mixed signals regarding whale activity, with a drop in inflows indicating patience. Bitcoin’s price prediction shows consolidation below $86,000 with support at $83,000, and caution is advised due to waning bullish momentum. Whales hold the key to the next market movement as retail buying strengthens.
Bitcoin has recently rebounded past $85,000, partly due to President Trump’s 90-day tariff pause on countries excluding China, which has alleviated market fears and rejuvenated bullish sentiment. Despite an increase in activities from retail investors and algorithms, Bitcoin whales, particularly on Binance, are notably inactive. The lack of movement from these large holders raises questions about their confidence and future market strategies.
Analysis from CryptoQuant indicates that Binance whales are off the radar. The Exchange Whale Ratio (EWR) shows a mixed trend, with the long-term moving average rising to highlight whale influence, while the short-term metrics depict a decline. This indicates a pause in trading or selling among large holders. Furthermore, the Whale-to-Exchange Flow metric points towards a significant $3 billion drop in whale inflows to Binance in the last month, suggesting a period of observation rather than aggressive trading.
This restraint mirrors historical market behaviours during corrections in 2024, where whales opted to hold their positions instead of selling during downturns. Current data demonstrates that while whales are remaining vigilant, there is robust buying activity from retail and mid-sized investors, potentially setting the stage for a more significant market movement as volatility subsides.
Examining Bitcoin’s price predictions for April 15, 2025, the one-hour chart indicates consolidation just below the $86,000 resistance with support levels around $83,000. The price has rebounded from lower support zones near $75,000 and $79,000, yet momentum has stalled, resulting in lateral price action. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) reads at 51.72, signalling a balanced market without immediate pressure to buy or sell. Previous overbought scenarios led to minor corrections, while prior oversold conditions hinted at upward trends.
On April 11 and 13, the MACD showed signs of declining bullish momentum through death crosses, complicating clear directional trading. A breakthrough above $86,000 could ignite fresh bullish momentum, while a fall below $83,000 could revisit lower support levels. Though the overarching breakout structure remains optimistic with higher lows, caution is warranted as the market approaches significant resistance with diminishing momentum.
In summary, while Bitcoin’s recovery has rekindled hope amongst traders, the behaviour of Bitcoin whales is crucial for guiding the next potential movement. The inactivity could signify a strategic vantage point awaiting macroeconomic stability and sustained buy pressure from smaller investors, potentially prompting whales to act.
