Bitcoin’s potential surge to $137,000 could be driven by a $500 billion liquidity injection from the U.S. Treasury, enhancing market liquidity. Analysts note the connection between past TGA drawdowns and Bitcoin rallies, predicting another upward movement. However, Bitcoin is currently in a consolidation phase, requiring a breakout above $86,000 for bullish momentum, with liquidity trends, macroeconomic clarity, and major buyer activities vital for its next significant move.
Recent analysis indicates that Bitcoin’s price could surge to $137,000, propelled by a substantial $500 billion liquidity injection from the U.S. Treasury. This drawdown from its General Account is expected to enhance market liquidity significantly, setting the stage for a breakout in Bitcoin’s price trajectory. As the Treasury General Account (TGA) balance resizes, analysts foresee a buoyant atmosphere for risk assets, suggesting Bitcoin may surpass $130,000 by Q3 2025.
Since February, a deliberate reduction in the U.S. Treasury’s General Account has injected over $500 billion into the financial system due to the need for funding following the debt ceiling. This influx has elevated net liquidity levels to $6.3 trillion, creating favourable conditions for risk assets, including Bitcoin. Historical data reveals that similar TGA drawdowns in 2022 and 2023 incited rallies in speculative assets, leading market participants to predict repeat performance, especially with an additional $100 billion injection anticipated by the end of April.
Analyst Tomas identifies May as a critical month for liquidity reacceleration, correlating this with the easing of tax season demands. The correlation between Bitcoin and global liquidity, historically at 83%, positions Bitcoin as a significant indicator of monetary increase. Should discussions regarding the debt ceiling linger into Q3, forecasts suggest total liquidity might achieve new heights, potentially facilitating Bitcoin’s rise into unexplored price territories. Coupled with stable interest rates and clearer regulatory frameworks, these factors could create an environment ripe for a rally towards $137,000.
As of April 15, 2025, Bitcoin is consolidating within a critical support structure between $83,000 and resistance around $86,000, following a rebound from lower support levels at $75,000 and $79,000. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently measures at 51, indicating balanced momentum devoid of immediate overbought or oversold signals. Recent fluctuations in the MACD reveal a concerning trend of death crosses, which imply diminishing bullish momentum.
Analysis shows that a breakout exceeding the $86,000 level is essential for bulls’ resurgence. Conversely, if support remains below $83,000, subsequent declines towards lower levels may occur. Despite the bullish structure indicated by higher lows, diminishing momentum and a lack of significant buying activity from major investors signal caution within the current market. A clear market catalyst is necessary to determine Bitcoin’s upcoming movement, where the behaviour of whales will be critical.
Bitcoin’s potential ascent towards $137,000 depends largely on liquidity dynamics rather than mere technical indicators. The U.S. Treasury’s ongoing drain of the TGA could inject billions into the market, stimulating another hefty market rally. Nonetheless, with Bitcoin currently consolidating, breaking the resistance at $86,000 is crucial for any bullish turnaround. Upcoming developments regarding liquidity, macroeconomic clarity, and large buyer engagements will significantly influence Bitcoin’s potential trajectory—current crypto news related to Treasury strategies or rate decisions may provide needed catalysts for market movements.
