Bitcoin Must Hold Above $95,000 to Avoid Short-Term Rejection, Warn Analysts

Bitcoin’s ability to remain above $95,000 is crucial for a chance to retest its all-time high of $109,000, according to analysts. Failure to maintain this level may lead to further price declines. The upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision may influence its movements, with market sentiment currently leaning towards optimism, as reflected in the Crypto Fear & Greed Index. Investors are advised to exercise caution and conduct their own research before making decisions.

Bitcoin, the prominent cryptocurrency, is currently under pressure to maintain its price above the $95,000 mark. Analysts from Bitfinex and others emphasize that holding this level is critical for its potential to retest the all-time high of $109,000. If Bitcoin fails to sustain this position, experts warn of a likely deeper correction.

As outlined in a report on May 6, the $95,000 threshold acts as a pivot point in a range established from November 2024 through February 2025. This range defines the market structure and has implications for Bitcoin’s movement moving forward. Analysts have speculated that Bitcoin could see new highs come June, with recent positive performance, as of now, trading at $96,730—a 3.03% increase over 24 hours.

If Bitcoin can stay above $95,000, it could signal a “structural shift” back to bullishness, raising hopes for a rally. Past records show its all-time value peaked at $109,000 on January 20, coinciding with significant political events in the U.S. However, concern looms that failure to hold this level might lead to significant price drops in the near future.

Current short positions appear risky as Bitcoin approaches critical price points. Crypto analyst Thomas Fahrer recently noted that up to $400 million in short positions could face liquidation if Bitcoin hits $98,000. Hooting to the positivity, Fahrer exclaimed, “Send it,” indicating expectations for a potential price increase.

Looking ahead, June was highlighted earlier this year by real estate analysts as a potential time for Bitcoin to reach all-time highs. A best-case projection suggested it could even hit $123,000. On the other hand, historical trends since 2013 show June’s performance has been marginally negative with an average of -0.35%.

The looming decision by the Federal Reserve regarding interest rates on May 7 could also play a pivotal role in the short-term price action. Historically, such announcements have generated notable volatility in the crypto market. Current indicators from CME Group suggest minimal chances of a rate cut, leading to speculation and unease.

Sentiment in the Bitcoin market is shifting positively, particularly as it nears the psychological benchmark of $100,000. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index, measuring market sentiment, has significantly moved into “Greed” territory, increasing by eight points to a score of 67 in the last day.

Overall, Bitcoin’s performance over the next few days will play a crucial role in determining whether it continues its upward trajectory or experiences lower corrections. Investors should approach trading carefully, keeping in mind the inherent risks.

As always, it’s essential for individuals to do their own research and consider risks before diving into investment decisions. Investments should be made with a well-informed strategy in mind, as markets can quickly change.

About Amina Khan

Amina Khan is a skilled journalist and editor known for her engaging narratives and robust reporting on health and education. Growing up in Karachi, she studied at the Lahore School of Economics before embarking on her career in journalism. Amina has worked with various international news agencies and has published numerous impactful pieces, making contributions to public discourse and advocating for positive change in her community.

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