Arthur Hayes, founder of BitMEX, predicts Bitcoin could hit $150,000 soon, driven by potential monetary easing from central banks. He cites historical data linking expansive monetary policy to Bitcoin price surges. New Whales now control over half of Bitcoin’s market shares, signalling significant shifts in ownership. Institutional mergers also hint at growing confidence in Bitcoin’s future. Overall, the market is poised for potential bullish trends ahead.
In a striking prediction for the cryptocurrency world, Arthur Hayes, the co-founder of BitMEX, reveals his belief that Bitcoin could soon soar to $150,000. During a conversation with Ran Neuner on the Crypto Banter YouTube channel, Hayes linked potential central bank monetary easing with an upward momentum for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, reminiscent of the massive gains seen in 2022.
Hayes pointedly noted, “I believe the setup is just perfect for a rally in risk assets, much like we experienced from late 2022 to early 2025. Fear and uncertainty in the market are palpable, something monetary authorities won’t tolerate. They’ll likely return to their money-printing ways.” His comments underscore a conviction that today’s economic climate strongly resembles that which preceded Bitcoin’s previous Rally.
He cited examples from history, particularly mentioning former U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, who oversaw the printing of a staggering $2.5 trillion from 2022 to 2025. This influx coincided with a sixfold increase in Bitcoin’s market price. Hayes observed, “Bitcoin went up six times during that period,” suggesting a clear correlation between expansive monetary policies and Bitcoin’s valuation.
Looking forward, Hayes spotlighted Scott Bessent, a notable figure from the Trump administration, suggesting that similar economic stimulation is required. He confidently indicated that by April 9, 2025, Bitcoin’s prices will have bottomed out, and a significant rise would soon follow. So, investors might want to keep an eye on this date.
Aside from his bullish price forecasts, Hayes expects a shift in Bitcoin’s market dominance; he argues that after a prolonged period of growth, a decline in Bitcoin’s dominance could be on the horizon, potentially giving way for altcoins to gain ground. He is predicting Bitcoin will claim 70% of market dominance, a level which might bring the price to that coveted $150,000 mark, followed by a likely rotation into altcoins.
Additionally, a report from CryptoQuant suggests that a new wave of investors—dubbed “New Whales”—now controls 52.4% of Bitcoin’s total realisable cap, overtaking long-term holders for the first time ever. This might signal crucial changes in how Bitcoin is held and traded. Currently, the price of Bitcoin is hovering around $96,800 thanks to fresh capital streaming into the market.
According to analyst JA Maartunn from CryptoQuant, addresses that have been active over the last 155 days are classified as New Whales, leaving those that have remained inactive as Old Whales. The new cohort’s average cost price rests at $91,922, starkly different from the older cohort’s average of $31,765—something that reflects a significant shift in ownership dynamics.
From 2015 to late 2019, New Whales constituted under 5% of the realisable cap. This number saw an increase during the bull run of 2020 through early 2021, where their share jumped to 25%. However, following the bear market that lasted from 2021 to 2022, their influence dwindled to less than 10%. The recent recovery, though, saw their stake rebound significantly as Bitcoin’s price skyrocketed from $30,000 to over $100,000.
Interestingly, as the New Whales take centre stage, the realised cap for Old Whales has dwindled to just 47.6%. This suggests that Bitcoin’s current strength relies heavily on these newer, high-cost holders who may dictate the next trend; if they decide to hold firm, it could enable further price increases but if they start to sell around their entry points, volatility could spike.
Meanwhile, news of mergers in the institutional space has added to the excitement. Asset Entities is merging with Strive to establish a Bitcoin treasury firm, signalling a growing institutional interest. After the announcement, shares of the combined company surged, showing strong investor sentiment. Additionally, Metaplanet has committed $25 million from bond proceeds for acquiring Bitcoin, providing extra support to the cryptocurrency’s valuation.
This confluence of monetary policy expectations, the rise of New Whales, and institutional mergers suggests an optimistic outlook for Bitcoin. As the landscape of the market continues to change, it’s clear that investors are closely monitoring these developments—setting the stage for potentially significant movements in cryptocurrency prices in the near future.
In summary, we appear to be on the brink of a pivotal moment in the cryptocurrency market. Arthur Hayes’s optimistic forecasts, combined with the emergence of New Whales and institutional support, indicate a possibly bullish trajectory for Bitcoin. As central banks weigh their options and interest grows, we could be gearing up for new all-time highs, urging all investors to stay alert.
