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Bitcoin Signals Possible Bull Cycle with Realised Cap Breaching $900 Billion

Bitcoin’s realised cap approaches $900 billion, indicating strong market interest and potential for a significant price breakout. Recent analyses suggest that the cryptocurrency might be entering a new bull cycle, despite ongoing profit-taking and market apprehensions. Buyers continue to emerge, hinting at sustained demand amidst a complex trading environment.

A potentially bullish trend seems to be building in the Bitcoin market, as the cryptocurrency’s realised cap is hitting record highs. Recent data indicates that Bitcoin is on the verge of a significant price breakout, with its market cap nearly reaching the $900 billion mark. Despite some profit-taking, the overall landscape appears stable, suggesting that a new bull cycle may be underway.

Bitcoin’s realised cap, which measures the value at which the current supply last moved on-chain, has been consistently on the rise since mid-April. As of May 7, this figure stood at approximately $891 billion, showing Bitcoin’s solid recovery. Analysis from the on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant highlights a surge in capital inflows and signals a renewed interest from investors. Carmelo Alemán, a CryptoQuant contributor, noted this change may indicate a growing belief in Bitcoin’s long-term potential as a serious financial asset.

Alemán’s commentary adds that the recent increase in realised cap is a strong indicator of ongoing investment, showcasing a shift in confidence among Bitcoin holders. Both long-term holders (LTHs) and short-term holders (STHs) are reportedly accumulating, which could lay the groundwork for a much-anticipated price breakout. If the current trends continue, it might just signal the early phases of a fresh bull cycle for Bitcoin.

The broader market context remains somewhat cautious, however. While Bitcoin seems to be rising, some voices in the industry express concern over the sustainability of this rebound. There’s discussion about Bitcoin’s dominance possibly declining from current levels, with factors like profit-taking causing some market jitters. Reports indicate that both LTHs and STHs have been realising profits, averaging around $1 billion daily.

In their latest report, research firm Glassnode suggested that both buying and selling conditions are relatively balanced as Bitcoin circles the $100,000 mark. They observed that, despite the uptick in profit-taking recently, a substantial amount of new capital has been flowing in, indicating a revitalisation of demand. This implies that while some are locking in gains, there are buyers keen to step in at present valuations, absorbing the available supply.

Looking at trends, Glassnode highlighted that the quest for profit has been persistent for over a year and a half. Since about October 2023, capital inflows have consistently surpassed outflows, which paints a generally optimistic picture. Continuous inflow of fresh capital could be a valuable signal as the market dynamically adapts to profit-taking practices and evolving investor behaviours.

As always, with investments, caution is advisable. The pieces in play may indicate potential for profit, but risks are present. Investors need to thoroughly research and assess their own positions when navigating this volatile landscape.

Nikita Petrov is a well-respected foreign correspondent revered for his insightful coverage of Eastern European affairs. Originally from Moscow, he pursued his education in political science at the University of St. Petersburg before transitioning into journalism. Over the past 14 years, Nikita has provided in-depth reports and analyses from multiple countries, earning a reputation for his nuanced understanding of complex geopolitical issues.

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