Bitcoin May Stall at $100K Despite Significant ETF Inflows

Bitcoin’s price may hit $100,000 soon but faces strong resistance. Recently, $3 billion in ETF inflows has sparked interest, although historical data shows mixed results regarding price tops. Analysts suggest that significant selling pressure lurks around $97,000-$100,000, which adds complexity to the potential price surge.

Bitcoin’s recent price movements have led many to speculate whether the cryptocurrency could stop its ascent at the $100,000 mark, even as $3 billion floods into Bitcoin ETFs. Although historically, high inflows haven’t consistently indicated a price peak, it’s still a critical factor in market analysis.

Currently, Bitcoin (BTC) has seen an upswing, bouncing back from its lows around $74,400 and climbing 8% over the past week. This recovery can be traced back to the increased appetite for spot ETFs. Just last week, Bitcoin ETFs reported a staggering net inflow of $3.06 billion, which is the most significant figure since December 2025.

To understand if these inflows point towards a price ceiling, looking back on historical data can help. There have been cases where significant ETF inflows have coincided with price peaks, yet the correlation isn’t assured. For example, back in March 2024, inflows surpassed $1 billion, closely preceding a Bitcoin price high of around $73,300. On June 3, similar inflows aligned with a price rally from $67,000 to $72,000, albeit followed by a sharp correction.

Much more intriguingly, in November 2024, records showed weekly inflows hitting a staggering $3.38 billion. Despite Bitcoin continuing its climb to new highs, this did not instantly culminate in a price reversal. In fact, BTC broke through the $100,000 threshold for the first time, surpassing a previous high of $108,000 observed on December 17, 2025.

Market analytics tool FalconX utilised a Vector Autoregression model to analyse these patterns and found that inflows tended to predict short-term price jumps but not necessarily reversals. It’s a reminder that while inflows can signal immediate bullish sentiment, they don’t preclude the possibility of future dips.

Currently, Bitcoin is consolidating under significant resistance at the $95,000 mark, a level noted by analysts like AlphaBTC. Recently, he pointed out on X that this resistance has held firm, but hopes remain high that BTC can overcome it. Moreover, Cointelegraph has previously noted that further ETF demand and other market factors will be crucial to this effort.

Data from CoinGlass indicates that a notable seller interest lies within the $97,000 to $100,000 range, suggesting that Bitcoin may indeed push towards $100,000 to capture this liquidity before potentially pulling back.

Despite this optimism, concerns linger. Keith Alan, co-founder of Material Indicators, is sceptical that BTC/USD can maintain its position beyond $95,000 at this moment. Moreover, trading firm QCP Capital highlighted that Bitcoin currently lacks a sufficient catalyst to drive it up towards $100,000 in the near term.

As always, it’s important to remember that this article should not be taken as investment advice. Every trading decision entails risk, hence thorough research is advised before taking any financial actions.